Or is it just a pause? As we await another winter nor'easter here in southern New England we are trying to stay warm and figure out what the likely next move of the market will be and how much snow we will get. The weather seems easier. It's been very cold here lately. I awoke this morning to one degree above zero (that's -17.22 Celsius). It's what we call pretty nippy. … [Read more...]
Big Morning Up
The S&P futures had a good run up this morning. Just before the US Open, the market tested the overnight lows (T) and took off. You can see the demand that came in off the US open, confirming the test (D1) and indicating the overnight high would break. The short pause here had light downside volume, opening the door for buyers to come in, and they did (D2). Buying … [Read more...]
The Day After A Trend Day
One of my favorite days to trade is the day after a trend day. Yesterday was a big trend day down. Sometimes, it is hard to get aboard a trend day. Yesterday, there were several opportunities to enter short, but even so, traders often report that trend days can be frustrating events. Trades are taken off too early and sometimes it looks as if the market is bottoming, but it … [Read more...]
Friday: A Stellar Trading Day
Today was one of the better trading days. The day started with a continuation of yesterday afternoon's down move. The lows were reached just before the US open where a rise in volume with little progress down followed by light downside volume indicated the downtrend was over (1) and a first long trade. Accumulation then became apparent along the 1765-6 level, which led to a … [Read more...]
The Damage
We've been discussing the likelihood of a significant pullback in Deep Practice for the past several weeks. The monthly chart of the S&P cash market shows an overbought position in the trend channel. Because it is occurring on the monthly chart, the odds of a significant move becomes more likely. The market sell-off that began last Thursday is the beginning of the monthly … [Read more...]
