Last night, I was looking for the market to react and begin to head lower today (see last post below). That analysis turned out to be wrong. How do you salvage a trading day when your analysis turns our to be flawed? In truth, there are many days that my nightly analysis turns out to be wrong, or, more correctly, the market doesn't do what I anticipated the night before. It … [Read more...]
The Coming Week & Free Webinar
The coming week should be an interesting one. We have a fair amount of reports coming out (Housing, CPI, FOMC Minuets, Jobless Claims) that can cause increased volatility. Two weeks ago the US Stock Market (represented by the S&P e-minis) fell hard. There was follow through to the downside in the early part of the next week, and then the market hit support and began to … [Read more...]
Webinar Today
I just finished the slides for today's webinar on Tops & Bottoms. There are 60 slides covering how to read a top and how to read a bottom. I think you will like them. We will have a thorough discussion on market tops and bottoms, including the all important structural characteristics, how markets behave in these locations, entries, use of the Weis Wave, bar-by-bar reading … [Read more...]
Follow-Up in the S&Ps
Yesterday, resistance was identified in the area of 1965 - 1970. Today, the market stopped it's upward movement at 1968.25. Today--marked A on the chart--was an up day. Although it was up, it also traded inside the range of the previous day. We had good volume, but the market remained largely range-bound. We could be seeing the market accumulating around support as we have … [Read more...]
Progression of a Top
I showed Daily Chart 1 of the S&P e-mini futures in a free webinar held by TradeGuider yesterday (Monday) morning. You can see that Monday's bar C was still in progress. We noted that we were likely creating a top and could expect at least a modest pullback. Here was the rationale: The daily chart had reached the Weekly Supply Line (red trend line) on Thursday last week … [Read more...]
